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Magnolia Political Report #47
October 6, 2003
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Barbour
brings out the big guns
President
George W. Bush made a campaign stop in Jackson last month for Haley Barbour
that netted over $2 million for the GOP gubernatorial candidate’s
campaign coffers. Bush is rumored to be planning a visit again for Barbour
in late October. Reportedly, he’ll be campaigning on the Coast or
in Desoto County – and this time he’ll be trolling for votes
instead of campaign contributions.
The political grapevine is also humming with rumors that America’s
mayor, Rudolph Guiliani, will be visiting the Magnolia State for Barbour
before the end of the campaign.
“First
brother,” Governor Jeb Bush of Florida, will visit Hattiesburg Wednesday
to headline a fish fry for Barbour.
Former
White House Press Secretary Ari Fleischer visited Jackson last week on
behalf of Barbour where he was the main draw at a fundraiser at Hal and
Mal’s for young Barbour supporters.
A
visit from a popular president like Bush is a big boost for any campaign.
Last year, Bush made a huge impact on several competitive
races for governor and the U.S. Senate. Early stops like the one Bush
made last month can raise mountains of cash for a campaign in a few hours.
Late visits energize the respective base and can even help persuade undecided
voters. If the race for governor comes down to the wire, having Bush in
the state to help turnout the GOP faithful could be decisive for Barbour.
Musgrove
has kept national Democratic figures out of the spotlight in Mississippi,
preferring to go it alone on the campaign trail. Considering the nation’s
most high-profile Democrats are the Clintons, Howard Dean and Tom Daschle,
it’s no wonder Musgrove is keeping them at arms length.
Debates
Barbour
vs. Musgrove I
The
first of four Ronnie Musgrove and Haley Barbour debates was in Jackson
last Monday. Musgrove and Barbour are debating again tonight in Starkville.
The first debate featured
few fireworks. Both candidates, for the most part, stuck to the same campaign
themes they have been developing all year. If anyone was keeping score,
Barbour may have come out ahead on points, but Musgrove held his own.
Interestingly,
Musgrove’s former-wife sat in the front row of the theatre near
Marsha Barbour, the wife of Haley Barbour. According to the Barbour campaign
spokesman Quinton Dickerson, “She called and asked for a ticket
and we gave her one.”
Barbour
vs. Musgrove II

Most pundits at the debate agreed that Barbour got the better of Musgrove
in the second debate. Musgrove largely stuck to his script from the first
debate while Barbour had fine tuned his debate strategy based on Musgrove's
earlier performance. Questions about the state's poor job market, high
crime rate and bleak budget outlook kept Musgrove on the defensive most
of the night. At times Musgrove sounded almost whiney about Barbour's
assessment of his record. Barbour displayed a strong demand of policy
which he effectively used to blunt Musgrove's frequent attacks.
Both
candidates were thrown off-stride when asked to say two good things about
the other. Musgrove described Barbour as being smart and financially successful
while Barbour countered with intelligent and hard working. Neither candidate
was able to avoid criticizing the other, though Barbour was much less
negative
in his response.
Crime
was the big topic of the night. Barbour had obviously done his homework
which allowed him to trump Musgrove on the issue. Musgrove stuck to his
usual NAFTA argument in which he blamed Barbour for the state's loss of
jobs. Musgrove brought two Batesville residents who lost their jobs because
of the Fruit of the Loom plant closings. The Barbour camp introduced Jill
Williams, a teacher at West Lauderdale High School, that had her students
review the platform of both candidates. She wrote in a letter to Barbour,
"I would like to commend you for the educational value of your website
www.haleysplan.com....Your website was very easy for them (the students)
to use, and it was specific as far as plans for the next four years."
Debates
at Delta State and on the Coast are also scheduled.
Hood vs. Newton
The two candidates for Attorney General debated last week in Starkville.
The candidates continued to contrast their records in the respective careers.
Newton trumpeted his career as a federal prosecutor and FBI agent and
slammed Hood for plea bargaining too many cases as a District Attorney.
Hood stuck to his script of downplaying Newton’s career as a federal
prosecutor and talked about his own record and experience as a DA.
Anderson
vs. Reeves
Treasurer
hopefuls Gary Anderson and Tate Reeves met last week in Jackson for their
first debate of the general election. Anderson touted his experience as
Musgrove’s head of DFA. Reeves contrasted his experience as a private
sector money manager to Anderson’s career as a state government
bureaucrat.
Blackmon
vs. Tuck
Lieutenant Governor candidates Amy Tuck and Barbara Blackmon will meet
twice at the end of October to debate. One is scheduled is set for Statewide
Live on Wednesday, October 29th and the other will be in Meridian on October
28th.
The race for lt. governor
heated-up near the boiling point last week when Blackmon challenged Tuck
to sign an affidavit swearing she never had an abortion. Tuck took great
offense, though she did say she’d sign an affidavit. Tuck was repeatedly
quoted as saying it was the sleaziest campaign tactic she had ever seen.
Editorial pages around
the state also took offense. At least seven wrote editorials denouncing
Blackmon for her campaign tactics. The story first started breaking on
Monday while Tuck was on a tour of the state touting her support of medical
malpractice reform. By Friday, Blackmon was in full retreat on the issue.
Voters
seemed repelled that Blackmon would interject such a highly-charged personal
issue into the campaign. What’s more, in a state that is strongly
right to life, the story served to highlight Tuck’s anti-abortion
position and Blackmon’s pro-abortion voting record.
Television
Commercials
Haley
Barbour has pretty much airing ads on television since the springs. He’s
gotten some company later, chiefly from gubernatorial rival Ronnie Musgrove.
Once Musgrove went up, he came out swinging at Barbour, with charges that
Barbour had supported NAFTA. Barbour wasted no time in swinging back at
the Musgrove.
Barbour Commercials
Lt.
Gov. Amy Tuck has been up for about two weeks. Tuck’s first spot,
which featured a 1952 Ford pick-up, focuses on the need for more civil
justice reform. Her second ad touts her leadership on protecting the Pledge
of Allegiance in Mississippi schools and her legislation placing our national
motto on the walls of every classroom in the state.
Tuck Commercials
Jim Hood went up with a spot late last week focusing on his experience
as a District Attorney. His opponent, Scott Newton, is scheduled to hit
the airwaves early this week.
Independent expenditure
ads are already up in the races for governor and lt. governor. The ad
in the governor’s race hits Ronnie Musgrove for the loss of jobs
in Mississippi. The lt. governor spot slams Barbara Blackmon for supporting
high taxes.
The ads seek to strengthen
weaknesses in the campaigns of Barbour and Tuck.
To win in November,
Ronnie Musgrove only needs to get a fraction of the white vote in the
state. With 2000 points behind a spot hitting Barbour on NAFTA,.Musgrove
is obviously targeting white men worried about their jobs. The independent
expenditure ad hits back at Musgrove an issues he’s counting on
to bring a much needed piece of a winning coalition.
Judging by the independent
expenditure ad in her race, Tuck, who switched parties last December,
still needs to solidify her support among hardcore Republicans. The spot
in her race, which focuses on the Republican bread and butter issue of
taxes, smartly is targeted to drive up her opponents negatives among Republican
voters.
Endorsements
National
Right to Life endorsed Haley Barbour and Amy Tuck. Barbour was instrumental
in keeping the anti-abortion plank in the
Republican National Committee’s platform. Tuck has taken a leadership
role in passing several pieces of legislation important to the right to
life cause. Tuck’s opponent, State Senator Barbara Blackmon, is
the first pro-abortion major party nominee for a statewide office in recent
memory.
The Mississippi Manufacturers
Association endorsed Lieutenant Governor Amy Tuck on September 22nd. They
had endorsed Haley Barbour earlier in the year. Both endorsements were
firsts for the MMA, probably prompted by the importance the group places
on the need for more tort reform in the state. Tuck and Barbour are both
on record as supporting more civil justice reform. Musgrove and Blackmon
are not.
Tuck’s campaign
was also boosted by an endorsement from the National Rifle Association.
The group is immensely popular in Mississippi, where hunting dwarfs even
football as a favorite pastime.
The Mississippi AFL-CIO
endorsed Ronnie Musgrove and Barbara Blackmon, citing their support for
organized labor in the state. Blackmon has advocated a Department of Labor
in the state.
Equality Mississippi,
a “gay, lesbian and transgender” rights group, endorsed Ronnie
Musgrove in the primary and “unendorsed” him in the general
election because he advocated bringing the Ten Commandments display from
Alabama to Mississippi.
Haley Barbour picked-up
two endorsements from law enforcement groups based on his commitment to
increase funding for law enforcement. The Deputy Sheriffs Association
and the Police Benevolent Association both gave Barbour their stamps of
approval.
The Rev. Don Wildmon
traveled to Jackson to endorse Lt. Gov. Amy Tuck. Tuck worked with Wildmon
to privately raise funds to purchase framed “In God We Trust”
posters for each public school classroom in the state. Wildmon has a large
following through his work with the American Family Association and his
American Family Radio Network.
More Justice
The
Commission on Judicial Performance is investigating allegations by five
justices who say that soon to be former Supreme Court Justice Chuck McRae
promised to disrupt the court, threatened other justices, and failed to
step down from cases involving family members.
Circuit
Judge Clarence Morgan, Chairman of the State Commission on Judicial Performance,
ruled that Justices George Carlson and William Waller, Jr. must provide
depositions that will allow McRae to respond to the allegations.
Picture of the Week
Barbara
Blackmon put up billboards across the state encouraging
Mississippians to vote for her on November 5th. Election day is November
4th.
College Drinking
Problems
College football
games has led to two high profile drinking-related arrests. Early this
season Reeves Barbour was arrested along with a friend for public drunkenness
outside a Starkville bar. Barbour who was a student at the University
of Mississippi had attended the MSU – Oregon game earlier that night.
State
Senator Tommy Robertson received a DUI in Oxford after the Ole Miss –
Texas Tech football game. Robertson who pled guilty to a DUI violation
several years ago is contesting this charge.
Magnolia Report Polling
Who
is your favorite living former governor?
Kirk
Fordice - 46.9%
William Winter - 32.61%
Ray Mabus - 7.07%
Bill Waller - 7.07%
Bill Allain - 6.35%
(693
Votes)
Who
is the best political columnist in Mississippi?
Sid
Salter - 29.09%
Jack Criss - 21.89%
Bill Minor - 11.44%
Wyatt Emmerich - 8.09%
Sam Hall - 6.8%
Bobby Harrison - 6.61%
Reed Branson - 5.72%
Emily Wagster-Pettus - 2.76%
Donald Adderton - 2.37%
Buddy Bynum - 2.27%
Charlie Mitchell - 1.68%
David Hampton - 1.28%
(1,014
Votes)
If
the election were held today, who would win the race for Treasurer?
Tate
Reeves - 58.6%
Gary Anderson - 41.4%
(401 Votes)
If
the election were held today, who would win the Ag Commissioner race?
Max Phillips - 51.67%
Lester Spell - 48.33%
(480 Votes)
Do
you agree with the GOP's decision to dismiss the petition against DA David
Clark?
Agree - 57.6%
Disagree - 25.73%
Don't Care - 16.67%
(342 Votes)
On the Web
www.northeastmsnews.com
- In January of this year, Democratic AG hopeful Jim Hood was issued a
ticket for duck hunting after dark. An enterprising antagonist of Hood’s
put up a website featuring Hood’s running a “fowl” of
the law.
www.ericclark.com - Secretary of State Eric Clark launched his campaign
website last month. Clark is challenged by GOP nominee Julio del Castillo.
www.magnoliasportsreport.com - The Magnolia Report has branched out
with a sports report that chronicles sports news from around the state.
www.haleysplan.com - Haley Barbour has launched a comprehensive issue-oriented
website detailing his gubernatorial platform. Barbour has heavily promoted
the site with a state-wide television buy.
www.donothingdeb.com - Incumbent Democrat Deborah Dawkins faces Long
Beach Mayor Robert Bass in one of the most hotly contested Senate races
in the state. The Mississippi Republican Party has a launched a website
putting their spin on Dawkins’ record.
Just
Plane Troubles
For
the second time in as many months Lt. Governor Amy Tuck had a frightening
experience flying to a campaign event. Earlier this year the door of a
plane Tuck was flying in flew open a few thousand feet above Madison.
Last week on approach into Gulfport the landing gear of Tuck’s plane
failed to come down. After several attempts the pilot finally got the
gear to engage for landing.
Quotable Quotes
“He
got a talking to from his daddy,'” Ronnie Musgrove campaign manager
Lisa McMurray answering questions about a brush with the law Jordan Musgrove
had after he placed a Musgrove bumper sticker over a Haley Barbour sticker
on a Barbour supporter’s car.
“I'm
not accusing anyone of anything,” State Senator Barbara Blackmon
on asking Lt. Governor Amy Tuck to sign an affidavit swearing she has
never had an abortion.
“When
asked about Al Gore's ‘tendency to stretch the truth’ Dawkins
gave the following response: ‘Well, I think he (Al Gore) has a character
flaw that is typical of politicians, and I might have to sink to that
level myself sometimes.’” – State Senator Debbie Dawkins
quote from a November, 2000 Sun Herald article as quoted on www.donothingdeb.com.
Movers
and Shakers
Longtime
Commercial Appeal Mississippi correspondent has left the paper for a job
at the Enterprise Corporation of the Delta. As one of the most insightful
and thorough correspondents in Jackson, Branson will be missed on the
Mississippi political scene.
Perhaps
the most interesting news to come out of the first Musgrove-Barbour debate
was Jordan Musgrove’s brush with the law. The Magnolia Report was
on the scene to
see the whole thing. Apparently, Musgrove and a few friends put a Ronnie
Musgrove bumper sticker over a Haley Barbour sticker that was on longtime
GOP activist Pete Perry’s
car. Perry, who had seen the teens doing something to his car, asked the
Jackson police to stop them until he would be able to find out what they
had done.
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