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Magnolia Political Report #47
October 6, 2003

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Barbour brings out the big guns
President George W. Bush made a campaign stop in Jackson last month for Haley Barbour that netted over $2 million for the GOP gubernatorial candidate’s campaign coffers. Bush is rumored to be planning a visit again for Barbour in late October. Reportedly, he’ll be campaigning on the Coast or in Desoto County – and this time he’ll be trolling for votes instead of campaign contributions.


The political grapevine is also humming with rumors that America’s mayor, Rudolph Guiliani, will be visiting the Magnolia State for Barbour before the end of the campaign.

“First brother,” Governor Jeb Bush of Florida, will visit Hattiesburg Wednesday to headline a fish fry for Barbour.

Former White House Press Secretary Ari Fleischer visited Jackson last week on behalf of Barbour where he was the main draw at a fundraiser at Hal and Mal’s for young Barbour supporters.

A visit from a popular president like Bush is a big boost for any campaign. Last year, Bush made a huge impact on several competitive races for governor and the U.S. Senate. Early stops like the one Bush made last month can raise mountains of cash for a campaign in a few hours. Late visits energize the respective base and can even help persuade undecided voters. If the race for governor comes down to the wire, having Bush in the state to help turnout the GOP faithful could be decisive for Barbour.

Musgrove has kept national Democratic figures out of the spotlight in Mississippi, preferring to go it alone on the campaign trail. Considering the nation’s most high-profile Democrats are the Clintons, Howard Dean and Tom Daschle, it’s no wonder Musgrove is keeping them at arms length.

Debates
Barbour vs. Musgrove I
The first of four Ronnie Musgrove and Haley Barbour debates was in Jackson last Monday. Musgrove and Barbour are debating again tonight in Starkville.

The first debate featured few fireworks. Both candidates, for the most part, stuck to the same campaign themes they have been developing all year. If anyone was keeping score, Barbour may have come out ahead on points, but Musgrove held his own.

Interestingly, Musgrove’s former-wife sat in the front row of the theatre near Marsha Barbour, the wife of Haley Barbour. According to the Barbour campaign spokesman Quinton Dickerson, “She called and asked for a ticket and we gave her one.”

Barbour vs. Musgrove II

Most pundits at the debate agreed that Barbour got the better of Musgrove in the second debate. Musgrove largely stuck to his script from the first debate while Barbour had fine tuned his debate strategy based on Musgrove's earlier performance. Questions about the state's poor job market, high crime rate and bleak budget outlook kept Musgrove on the defensive most of the night. At times Musgrove sounded almost whiney about Barbour's assessment of his record. Barbour displayed a strong demand of policy which he effectively used to blunt Musgrove's frequent attacks.

Both candidates were thrown off-stride when asked to say two good things about the other. Musgrove described Barbour as being smart and financially successful while Barbour countered with intelligent and hard working. Neither candidate was able to avoid criticizing the other, though Barbour was much less
negative in his response.

Crime was the big topic of the night. Barbour had obviously done his homework which allowed him to trump Musgrove on the issue. Musgrove stuck to his usual NAFTA argument in which he blamed Barbour for the state's loss of jobs. Musgrove brought two Batesville residents who lost their jobs because of the Fruit of the Loom plant closings. The Barbour camp introduced Jill Williams, a teacher at West Lauderdale High School, that had her students review the platform of both candidates. She wrote in a letter to Barbour, "I would like to commend you for the educational value of your website www.haleysplan.com....Your website was very easy for them (the students) to use, and it was specific as far as plans for the next four years."

Debates at Delta State and on the Coast are also scheduled.

Hood vs. Newton
The two candidates for Attorney General debated last week in Starkville. The candidates continued to contrast their records in the respective careers. Newton trumpeted his career as a federal prosecutor and FBI agent and slammed Hood for plea bargaining too many cases as a District Attorney. Hood stuck to his script of downplaying Newton’s career as a federal prosecutor and talked about his own record and experience as a DA.

Anderson vs. Reeves
Treasurer hopefuls Gary Anderson and Tate Reeves met last week in Jackson for their first debate of the general election. Anderson touted his experience as Musgrove’s head of DFA. Reeves contrasted his experience as a private sector money manager to Anderson’s career as a state government bureaucrat.

Blackmon vs. Tuck
Lieutenant Governor candidates Amy Tuck and Barbara Blackmon will meet twice at the end of October to debate. One is scheduled is set for Statewide Live on Wednesday, October 29th and the other will be in Meridian on October 28th.

The race for lt. governor heated-up near the boiling point last week when Blackmon challenged Tuck to sign an affidavit swearing she never had an abortion. Tuck took great offense, though she did say she’d sign an affidavit. Tuck was repeatedly quoted as saying it was the sleaziest campaign tactic she had ever seen.

Editorial pages around the state also took offense. At least seven wrote editorials denouncing Blackmon for her campaign tactics. The story first started breaking on Monday while Tuck was on a tour of the state touting her support of medical malpractice reform. By Friday, Blackmon was in full retreat on the issue.

Voters seemed repelled that Blackmon would interject such a highly-charged personal issue into the campaign. What’s more, in a state that is strongly right to life, the story served to highlight Tuck’s anti-abortion position and Blackmon’s pro-abortion voting record.

Television Commercials
Haley Barbour has pretty much airing ads on television since the springs. He’s gotten some company later, chiefly from gubernatorial rival Ronnie Musgrove. Once Musgrove went up, he came out swinging at Barbour, with charges that Barbour had supported NAFTA. Barbour wasted no time in swinging back at the Musgrove.
Barbour Commercials

Lt. Gov. Amy Tuck has been up for about two weeks. Tuck’s first spot, which featured a 1952 Ford pick-up, focuses on the need for more civil justice reform. Her second ad touts her leadership on protecting the Pledge of Allegiance in Mississippi schools and her legislation placing our national motto on the walls of every classroom in the state.
Tuck Commercials


Jim Hood went up with a spot late last week focusing on his experience as a District Attorney. His opponent, Scott Newton, is scheduled to hit the airwaves early this week.

Independent expenditure ads are already up in the races for governor and lt. governor. The ad in the governor’s race hits Ronnie Musgrove for the loss of jobs in Mississippi. The lt. governor spot slams Barbara Blackmon for supporting high taxes.

The ads seek to strengthen weaknesses in the campaigns of Barbour and Tuck.

To win in November, Ronnie Musgrove only needs to get a fraction of the white vote in the state. With 2000 points behind a spot hitting Barbour on NAFTA,.Musgrove is obviously targeting white men worried about their jobs. The independent expenditure ad hits back at Musgrove an issues he’s counting on to bring a much needed piece of a winning coalition.

Judging by the independent expenditure ad in her race, Tuck, who switched parties last December, still needs to solidify her support among hardcore Republicans. The spot in her race, which focuses on the Republican bread and butter issue of taxes, smartly is targeted to drive up her opponents negatives among Republican voters.

Endorsements
National Right to Life endorsed Haley Barbour and Amy Tuck. Barbour was instrumental in keeping the anti-abortion plank in the Republican National Committee’s platform. Tuck has taken a leadership role in passing several pieces of legislation important to the right to life cause. Tuck’s opponent, State Senator Barbara Blackmon, is the first pro-abortion major party nominee for a statewide office in recent memory.

The Mississippi Manufacturers Association endorsed Lieutenant Governor Amy Tuck on September 22nd. They had endorsed Haley Barbour earlier in the year. Both endorsements were firsts for the MMA, probably prompted by the importance the group places on the need for more tort reform in the state. Tuck and Barbour are both on record as supporting more civil justice reform. Musgrove and Blackmon are not.

Tuck’s campaign was also boosted by an endorsement from the National Rifle Association. The group is immensely popular in Mississippi, where hunting dwarfs even football as a favorite pastime.

The Mississippi AFL-CIO endorsed Ronnie Musgrove and Barbara Blackmon, citing their support for organized labor in the state. Blackmon has advocated a Department of Labor in the state.

Equality Mississippi, a “gay, lesbian and transgender” rights group, endorsed Ronnie Musgrove in the primary and “unendorsed” him in the general election because he advocated bringing the Ten Commandments display from Alabama to Mississippi.

Haley Barbour picked-up two endorsements from law enforcement groups based on his commitment to increase funding for law enforcement. The Deputy Sheriffs Association and the Police Benevolent Association both gave Barbour their stamps of approval.

The Rev. Don Wildmon traveled to Jackson to endorse Lt. Gov. Amy Tuck. Tuck worked with Wildmon to privately raise funds to purchase framed “In God We Trust” posters for each public school classroom in the state. Wildmon has a large following through his work with the American Family Association and his American Family Radio Network.

More Justice
The Commission on Judicial Performance is investigating allegations by five justices who say that soon to be former Supreme Court Justice Chuck McRae promised to disrupt the court, threatened other justices, and failed to step down from cases involving family members.

Circuit Judge Clarence Morgan, Chairman of the State Commission on Judicial Performance, ruled that Justices George Carlson and William Waller, Jr. must provide depositions that will allow McRae to respond to the allegations.

Picture of the Week

Barbara Blackmon put up billboards across the state encouraging
Mississippians to vote for her on November 5th. Election day is November 4th.

College Drinking Problems
College football games has led to two high profile drinking-related arrests. Early this season Reeves Barbour was arrested along with a friend for public drunkenness outside a Starkville bar. Barbour who was a student at the University of Mississippi had attended the MSU – Oregon game earlier that night.

State Senator Tommy Robertson received a DUI in Oxford after the Ole Miss – Texas Tech football game. Robertson who pled guilty to a DUI violation several years ago is contesting this charge.

Magnolia Report Polling
Who is your favorite living former governor?
Kirk Fordice - 46.9%
William Winter - 32.61%
Ray Mabus - 7.07%
Bill Waller - 7.07%
Bill Allain - 6.35%
(693 Votes)

Who is the best political columnist in Mississippi?
Sid Salter - 29.09%
Jack Criss - 21.89%
Bill Minor - 11.44%
Wyatt Emmerich - 8.09%
Sam Hall - 6.8%
Bobby Harrison - 6.61%
Reed Branson - 5.72%
Emily Wagster-Pettus - 2.76%
Donald Adderton - 2.37%
Buddy Bynum - 2.27%
Charlie Mitchell - 1.68%
David Hampton - 1.28%

(1,014 Votes)

If the election were held today, who would win the race for Treasurer?
Tate Reeves - 58.6%
Gary Anderson - 41.4%
(401 Votes)

If the election were held today, who would win the Ag Commissioner race?
Max Phillips - 51.67%
Lester Spell - 48.33%
(480 Votes)

Do you agree with the GOP's decision to dismiss the petition against DA David Clark?
Agree - 57.6%
Disagree - 25.73%
Don't Care - 16.67%
(342 Votes)


On the Web
www.northeastmsnews.com - In January of this year, Democratic AG hopeful Jim Hood was issued a ticket for duck hunting after dark. An enterprising antagonist of Hood’s put up a website featuring Hood’s running a “fowl” of the law.


www.ericclark.com
- Secretary of State Eric Clark launched his campaign website last month. Clark is challenged by GOP nominee Julio del Castillo.



www.magnoliasportsreport.com
- The Magnolia Report has branched out with a sports report that chronicles sports news from around the state.


www.haleysplan.com
- Haley Barbour has launched a comprehensive issue-oriented website detailing his gubernatorial platform. Barbour has heavily promoted the site with a state-wide television buy.


www.donothingdeb.com
- Incumbent Democrat Deborah Dawkins faces Long Beach Mayor Robert Bass in one of the most hotly contested Senate races in the state. The Mississippi Republican Party has a launched a website putting their spin on Dawkins’ record.


 

Just Plane Troubles
For the second time in as many months Lt. Governor Amy Tuck had a frightening experience flying to a campaign event. Earlier this year the door of a plane Tuck was flying in flew open a few thousand feet above Madison. Last week on approach into Gulfport the landing gear of Tuck’s plane failed to come down. After several attempts the pilot finally got the gear to engage for landing.

Quotable Quotes
“He got a talking to from his daddy,'” Ronnie Musgrove campaign manager Lisa McMurray answering questions about a brush with the law Jordan Musgrove had after he placed a Musgrove bumper sticker over a Haley Barbour sticker on a Barbour supporter’s car.

“I'm not accusing anyone of anything,” State Senator Barbara Blackmon on asking Lt. Governor Amy Tuck to sign an affidavit swearing she has never had an abortion.

“When asked about Al Gore's ‘tendency to stretch the truth’ Dawkins gave the following response: ‘Well, I think he (Al Gore) has a character flaw that is typical of politicians, and I might have to sink to that level myself sometimes.’” – State Senator Debbie Dawkins quote from a November, 2000 Sun Herald article as quoted on www.donothingdeb.com.

Movers and Shakers
Longtime Commercial Appeal Mississippi correspondent has left the paper for a job at the Enterprise Corporation of the Delta. As one of the most insightful and thorough correspondents in Jackson, Branson will be missed on the Mississippi political scene.

Perhaps the most interesting news to come out of the first Musgrove-Barbour debate was Jordan Musgrove’s brush with the law. The Magnolia Report was on the scene to see the whole thing. Apparently, Musgrove and a few friends put a Ronnie Musgrove bumper sticker over a Haley Barbour sticker that was on longtime GOP activist Pete Perry’s car. Perry, who had seen the teens doing something to his car, asked the Jackson police to stop them until he would be able to find out what they had done.


    

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