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Magnolia Political Report #55
April 29, 2004
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Down to the wire
Legislative sessions normally last 90 days. After every statewide election year, the session is extended to 120 days to accommodate changes in the executive and legislative branches. This year, 120 days may not be enough to bridge the chasm between Governor Haley Barbour and the Senate on one side and Speaker Billy McCoy and the House on the other.

Barbour and the Senate are intent on dealing with Mississippi’s $700 million budget shortfall. Barbour’s plan would wipe out half of the debt in the first year, but House leaders says it leaves education short. A group of just under 20 senators have signed on to House funding levels. Right now, a majority is holding firm to the Legislative Budget Recommendation (LBR) figure, pointing to a study by the Mississippi Center for Public Policy (MCPP Report) that contends education savings can be found in school administrations, not the classroom.

McCoy and House are dug in, intent on funding education at some $161 million over the LBR. The House finds some of the money to fill the gap by increasing fees and taxes. Barbour says he’ll veto the increases.

Negotiations between House and Senate budget conferees will head into the weekend to try to beat a Saturday deadline for filing conference reports for appropriations and revenue bills. Look for legislators to extend the deadline by filing dummy bills – bills with $1 of spending. Such bills will technically beat the deadline and give legislators until Tuesday to work things out.

Funding education at House levels without increasing taxes will be impossible. Something will have to give. Education accounts for over 60 percent of the state’s budget. In a $3.6 million general fund state budget, the money is simply not available to be made up elsewhere.

On a side note, legislative leadership has proudly pointed out that appropriation conference committees have been opened to the public for the first time this year. Other conference committee meetings have been “open” for several years. Capitol watchers complain that nothing much ever happens in open conferences. Once the meetings officially open, members adjourn to a back room where they iron out details. And then there’s this: In open session on the House floor, the Clerk reminded members that conferences are open to the public, but went on to say they are under no obligation to notify the public when conference committees meet.


Electoral College
Since the election of Ronnie Musgrove over Mike Parker 4 1/2 years ago, there has been much speculation about the merits of the electoral college. Under the 1890 Mississippi constitution, a statewide candidate for office must receive both a majority of the popular vote and a majority of the electoral college. The electoral college is composed of the 122 House of Representatives districts. If a candidate does not achieve both, the election is decided by the members of the House of Representatives, which occured in 1999.

Before the 2003 gubernatorial election, some pundits incorrectly predicted a close election which would cause a repeat of the 1999 House vote, and many in political circles predicted the end of the electoral college in the 2004 legislative session.

This debate has created some shifting political positions. For example, although Governor Musgrove had voted against abolishing the electoral college while he was a State Senator, he criticized its use in 1999. As for Governor Barbour, he said before and after the 2003 election that he favored abolishing the electoral college, although he favors a run-off if no candidate meets a certain threshold. The bills to abolish the electoral college have died in this session, but the debate will no doubt arise again in future sessions.

During the 1999 electoral college vote, many House members proclaimed that they would vote the way their House districts voted. For the political hacks who like to imagine "what if," it is interesting to see how the various House districts voted in the 2003 gubernatorial election. The Magnolia Report has compiled the following data to fulfill this curiosity:

78
Barbour Victory      
44
Musgrove Victory    
* Representative name bolded when district won by gubernatorial candidate from opposite party
District Representative Barbour% Musgrove%   District Representative Barbour% Musgrove%
1 Ricky Cummings 55.0% 41.3%   62 Tom Weathersby 59.7% 38.2%
2 Harvey Moss 54.4% 43.1%   63 Walter L. Robinson, Jr. 44.3% 54.7%
3 William J. McCoy 49.8% 48.2%   64 William C. Denny, Jr. 73.0% 25.9%
4 Greg Ward 52.8% 45.0%   65 Mary H. Coleman 21.0% 77.9%
5 Kelvin O. Buck 31.4% 67.3%   66 Cecil Brown 53.5% 45.0%
6 E. Forrest Hamilton 68.4% 30.6%   67 Earle S. Banks 32.8% 66.4%
7 Wanda T. Jennings 70.1% 28.5%   68 Credell Calhoun 41.0% 58.2%
8 Larry J. Baker 56.2% 42.6%   69 Alyce Griffin Clarke 19.0% 80.0%
9 Clara Burnett 29.6% 68.9%   70 James Evans 21.9% 76.6%
10 Warner McBride 52.1% 46.6%   71 John Reeves 49.4% 48.7%
11 Leonard Morris 38.6% 60.5%   72 Erik R. Fleming 39.0% 60.0%
12 Noal Akins 53.1% 45.4%   73 Jim Ellington 57.7% 41.5%
13 Jack Gadd 47.3% 51.2%   74 Mark Baker 73.7% 24.9%
14 Margaret Ellis Rogers 57.6% 39.9%   75 Tracy L. Arinder 55.1% 44.2%
15 Pat Montgomery 61.5% 35.7%   76 Gregory Holloway, Sr. 42.9% 55.8%
16 Steve Holland 48.3% 50.2%   77 Clint Rotenberry 62.6% 34.9%
17 Brian Aldridge 59.2% 39.0%   78 Billy R. Nicholson 65.6% 33.0%
18 Jerry R. Turner 58.8% 39.4%   79 Blaine H. Eaton, II 56.2% 42.1%
19 James R. Franks, Jr. 56.0% 41.3%   80 Omeria Scott 33.6% 65.1%
20 J. B. Markham 56.1% 42.3%   81 Steve Horne 74.2% 24.5%
21 Bill Miles 51.3% 46.2%   82 Charles Young 50.6% 48.3%
22 Preston E. Sullivan 46.2% 52.0%   83 Greg Snowden 62.6% 36.2%
23 Jim Beckett 56.8% 41.5%   84 Eric Robinson 71.8% 26.7%
24 Sid Bondurant 52.0% 47.1%   85 A. Chuck Middleton 35.5% 63.5%
25 John M. Mayo 56.9% 41.5%   86 Joe Taylor 52.5% 45.9%
26 Chuck Espy 29.9% 68.8%   87 Johnny W. Stringer 51.5% 47.2%
27 Ferr Smith 39.7% 59.1%   88 Gary V. Staples 65.9% 32.1%
28 Charlie Capps, Jr. 49.4% 48.7%   89 Bobby Shows 66.7% 31.5%
29 Linda F. Coleman 25.1% 73.3%   90 Joe L. Warren 59.0% 38.6%
30 Robert E. Huddleston 29.7% 69.0%   91 Joey Hudson 37.6% 61.1%
31 Sara R.Thomas 33.0% 66.1%   92 Jim C. Barnett, M.D. 66.4% 31.5%
32 Willie J. Perkins, Sr. 26.6% 71.6%   93 Dirk D. Dedeaux 53.7% 42.7%
33 Tommy Reynolds 51.7% 47.0%   94 Phillip C. West 28.4% 70.8%
34 May Whittington 39.9% 58.8%   95 Jessica Sibley Upshaw 59.1% 38.7%
35 Dannie Reed 62.6% 36.1%   96 David L. Green 37.1% 60.7%
36 David Gibbs 35.8% 62.9%   97 Sam C. Mims, V 57.4% 41.2%
37 Gary A. Chism 56.1% 42.7%   98 David Myers 40.7% 57.8%
38 Tyrone Ellis 40.6% 58.1%   99 Robert E. Vince 54.9% 43.2%
39 Jeff Smith 58.8% 40.4%   100 Virginia Carlton 63.6% 33.7%
40 Ted Mayhall 62.4% 35.3%   101 Joey Fillingane 76.1% 21.9%
41 Esther M. Harrison 48.0% 51.0%   102 Lee Jarrell Davis 65.4% 33.1%
42 Reecy L. Dickson 35.9% 62.9%   103 Percy W. Watson 47.6% 50.9%
43 Bobby Moody 51.0% 47.8%   104 Mike Lott 71.7% 26.6%
44 C. Scott Bounds 60.8% 37.6%   105 Randy G. Pierce 55.1% 43.4%
45 Bennett Malone 53.6% 45.0%   106 Herb Frierson 56.5% 40.3%
46 Bobby B. Howell 60.1% 38.6%   107 Deryk R. Parker 60.0% 37.1%
47 Bryant W. Clark 35.8% 63.2%   108 Mark Formby 61.8% 36.4%
48 Mary Ann Stevens 49.2% 49.4%   109 Frank Hamilton 70.1% 28.1%
49 Willie L. Bailey 34.9% 64.5%   110 Billy Broomfield 26.1% 72.9%
50 John W. Hines 39.4% 60.0%   111 Carmel Wells-Smith 69.3% 28.7%
51 Rufus E. Straughter 37.2% 61.0%   112 John O. Read 64.5% 33.6%
52 Tommy Woods 63.0% 35.7%   113 H.B. "Hank" Zuber, III 63.9% 33.6%
53 Bobby Moak 48.4% 49.6%   114 Danny Guice, Jr. 64.0% 33.7%
54 Dr. Chester Masterson 59.7% 38.8%   115 Randall H Patterson 40.3% 57.6%
55 George Flaggs, Jr. 46.2% 52.5%   116 Leonard Bentz 62.9% 35.4%
56 Philip Gunn 71.7% 27.1%   117 Michael W. Janus 54.4% 44.3%
57 Edward Blackmon 41.8% 57.4%   118 Roger G. Ishee 57.9% 40.3%
58 Rita Martinson 76.1% 22.7%   119 Frances Fredericks 29.4% 69.0%
59 Clayton Smith 78.9% 19.5%   120 James C. Simpson, Jr. 61.2% 37.0%
60 John L. Moore 67.6% 29.6%   121 Diane C. Peranich 45.5% 52.8%
61 Ray Rogers 70.9% 26.8%   122 J. P. Compretta 51.4% 45.6%


McCoy's car stolen UPDATE: STOLEN AGAIN!
JPD Chief Robert Moore might ask Speaker Billy McCoy if Jackson's crime problem is all perception. McCoy's car was stolen from the Microtel Inn on Monroe Street in Jackson last week during a crime spree in which about twenty cars were broken into.

Since the release of this report last night (around 2AM), Speaker Billy McCoy's car was stolen again from the parking lot of his hotel.


Revolting developments in the House
Conservative lawmakers have revolted several times recently on the floor of the House. On a procedural vote to suspend the rules to consider a bill that would have effectively raised the death tax, House conservatives bucked their leadership by voting down the motion.

This week, conservative members of the House killed a procedural attempt to raise the tobacco tax by 9 cents a pack to fund crisis mental health centers.

Lt. Governor Amy Tuck has had little trouble keeping her troops in line this year on important votes. Not so at the other end of the capitol, where many Republicans and conservative Democrats have begun asserting themselves on critical votes.

Early in the year, House leadership had little trouble accomplishing their goals on the House floor. A mid-session rule change and a few stalled bills in committee seem to have changed the mood among many House conservatives. According to sources in the House, members were more willing to go along with the leadership early in the session because they felt their voices would be heard through the long legislative process. After the rules change and a perceived irresponsiveness on part of the leadership, House conservatives began taking a more adversarial approach, figuring they had nothing to lose.


“Frankly” my dear….
In a heated speech on the House floor, Rep. Jamie Franks of Mooreville accused Senator Alan Nunnelee of neighboring Tupelo of killing legislation as a favor to campaign contributors. The outburst prompted Nunnelee to take a rare point of personal privilege on the floor of the Senate, where he said his character was “impugned” by “damnable lies.” Nunnelee challenged Franks to present “any shred of evidence that contributions I received had strings attached.”

The spat between neighboring lawmakers was prompted by a polarizing Certificate of Need (CON) issue in Lee County, one of the hottest legislative issues in Tupelo and surrounding counties in years. The CON would have granted Baptist Medical Systems authorization to build a hospital in Tupelo to compete with North Mississippi Medical Center (NMMC), the largest rural hospital in the nation. Nunnelee, as chairman of the Senate Public Health and Welfare Committee, effectively killed the bill when he opted not to let it out of committee.



Quotable Quotes
"We don't need two-party politics in Mississippi. We have a lot of people that we need to take care of in this state."
Rep. Steve Holland, D–Plantersville

"Tort reform was indeed not the only reason the majority of the House voted to change that rule," said McCoy. "Getting in the business of 'pulling' bills from committee by 62 votes invites legislative anarchy. It's like government by Barabbas, in which whomever has the attention of the mob today makes the rules. Question is, whose mob will hold sway tomorrow?"
Speaker Billy McCoy, D-Reinzi

“It’s like a person cheating at school. If they’d spent half that time concentrating on positive dialogue on (the main tort reform bill) as they did trying to cheat and use a subversive move, we’d be getting some things done.”
Speaker Billy McCoy, referring to the Senate amending a banking bill with their tort reform legislation. McCoy angrily told Sun Herald reporter Geoff Pender that the move was an “enema” maneuver.

“We can’t work. You can’t confer with a cedar tree.”
Speaker Billy McCoy, commenting on Lt. Governor Amy Tuck’s absence from the legislature. Tuck has been sick with mycoplasma pneumonia and will miss the final days of the legislative session. In response to McCoy’s remark, several senators wore cedar chips on their lapels.

“I’m not changing my mind. We'll be sitting here in session for the next four years if that's what they're waiting on. Will someone please send out a message for me: I'm a Democrat. I'm not onboard with the Republicans’ national agenda and campaign. I have never seen an issue where corporations and their money and clout are so evident. People have rights, too, not just corporations.”
House Judiciary A Chairman Ed Blackmon, frustrated with the governor’s and other lawmakers’ attempts to force a vote on tort reform on the floor of the House.

“It takes two to tango. We can’t have one despotic body calling all the shots, which is essentially what we have come to.”
Senator Mike Chaney, criticizing the House leadership for not letting tort reform legislation come to the House floor for a vote.



This is better than the shows at the casinos
A Civil War of sorts has broken out in the Gulfport City Council over bills arising from President George W. Bush’s visit to the Coast last year. Several council members contended the bills should be paid by Haley Barbour’s campaign for Governor since the President visited the Coast on Barbour’s behalf. Republican Mayor Ken Combs and other council members disagreed.

At one council meeting, Republican Councilman Chuck Teston accused Mayor Ken Combs and fellow-Republican Councilman Kim Savant of “trashing” him. Savant shot back, “That’s a joke. I don’t have to make him look bad.”

At another meeting, after a local businessman agreed to pay the bill, Combs got into a heated exchange with Teston and GOP Councilman Billy Hewes. Combs accused the council of embarrassing the city as Teston shot back that Combs was the one embarrassing the city because he wouldn’t let another member speak. Combs replied, “All right, go ahead. If you’d like another fool to talk, go ahead.”

After Hewes spoke out against Combs for supporting the Barbour campaign in the matter, Combs and Hewes got into it over their Republican credentials. When Hewes pointed out he is a Republican, elected by Republicans, Combs retorted, “You’re a rhino. You’re a rhino.” Hours later, Hewes told The Sun Herald he was baffled by the comment and didn’t know what it meant.

The Magnolia Report did some research and learned R-I-N-O is a term meaning Republican In Name Only, often used by Republicans derisively to describe people they feel wear the party label only to get elected.

After Combs left the meeting, Hewes pointed out that the $20,250 donated to cover the expenses was $25 less than the city billed. Councilman Kim Savant pulled $25 out of his wallet, threw it on the floor and said, “I hope to God this puts this to rest.”

With apologies to Councilman Savant, we’re kind of hoping for more. Residents of Jackson probably are too. For once, Gulfport made the Jackson City Council look civil.



Polls
Does the State Democratic Party need new leadership?
Yes - 45.68%
I Don't Care - 41.73%
No - 12.59%

Would Speaker Billy McCoy be going too far by not recognizing one of his committee chairmen in order to kill a tort reform bill?
Yes. It would be unprecedented and heavy-handed. 65.72%
Yes. It would be unprecedented and heavy-handed - 65.72%
No. McCoy is the speaker - 25.76%
Don’t care. It’s all politics - 7.30%
Don’t know - 1.22%

Whose editorial page is most in touch with Mississippi?
Biloxi Sun Herald - 36.75%
Meridian Star - 23.49%
Tupelo Daily Journal - 14.76%
Jackson Clarion Ledger - 14.16%
Hattiesburg American - 4.82%
Greenwood Commonwealth - 3.31%
Delta Democrat Times - 2.71%

Should education be subject to funding cuts like everything else?
Yes - 62.62%
No - 33.98%
Undecided - 3.16%
Don’t care - 0.24%

Who will get your vote for president?
George W. Bush - 68.48%
John Kerry - 23.38%
Undecided - 4.59%
Ralph Nader - 1.88%
Nobody - 1.67%

In which region of the state do you live?
Jackson metro area - 38.66%
North Mississippi - 18.90%
Hattiesburg region - 11.63%
The Coast - 10.17%
The Delta - 8.14%
Southwest Mississippi - 6.69%
East Mississippi - 5.81%


Thompson staffer tells Jackson to “Beat It”
In a recent edition of Capitol Hill newspaper, "The Hill", Bennie Thompson Chief of Staff Lanier Avant speaks out about Michael Jackson, race, campaign contributions, record sales and Heisman award winners.

"The One Gloved Wonder" recently made the trek to Capitol Hill to pick-up a humanitarian award from the African Ambassadors' Spouses Association for his work combating AIDS in Africa. During his visit, Mr. Jackson had a private meeting with several members of the Congressional Black Caucus (CBC).

Several members of the CBC did not welcome the performer, essentially telling him to “beat it.” When Jackson inquired about attending the CBC’s Wednesday meeting, he was turned away. Congressman Bennie Thompson was among those who snubbed Jackson.

Lanier Avant, chief of staff, for Rep. Bennie Thompson (D-MS), said, "It would be different if he contributed to folk's campaigns."

Avant who admits he bought two copies of Jackson's last album, "Invincible," compared him to O.J. Simpson. "He's coming around now like O.J. Nothing about (O.J.'s) life was black until 1994, when he was arrested and being chased down the highway. The blackest thing about O.J.," he added, "was that he retained a black lawyer, Johnny Cochran."

Avant continued, "Believe it or not, people in the Mississippi Delta don't wake up thinking about Michael Jackson. I know that he has not been involved in my boss's efforts or any other member of Conference for that matter."

 

Movers and Shakers
Rhonda Keenum - Prentiss County native Rhonda Keenum is settling into her new job as Assistant Secretary of Commerce and Director General of the United States and Foreign Commercial Services after receiving Senate confirmation. Keenum is the wife of U.S. Senator Thad Cochran's Chief of Staff, Mark Keenum. Mrs. Keenum has worked and the staff of U.S. Rep. Roger Wicker and recently held the position of Senior Vice President at Edelman Public Relations. At Commerce, Keenum will oversee several thousand employees in the U.S. and abroad.

Scott Newton - GOP Attorney General nominee Scott Newton has landed at Baker, Donelson, Bearman, Caldwell & Berkowitz in their Government Investigations and Litigation Group. His practice will focus on health care, securities fraud, white collar crime litigation, and internal corporate investigations.

Jason Dedwylder - legislative assistant to Rep. Charles W. "Chip" Pickering Jr. (R-Miss.), Vice-Chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, is leaving Pickering's office to join the Washington-based firm Powell, Goldstein, Frazer & Murphy as a lobbyist.

Michael Callahan - Southern District Public Service Commissioner Michael Callahan announced his switch to the Republican Party. Callahan sounded themes similar to the spate of party switchers late last year, stating the Republican Party was "more in sync" with his thinking. Callahan specifically noted his view that Democrats are out of touch with Mississippians on cultural and social issues like gun rights and gay marriage.



Dems saying howdy to Dowdy?
Former Congressman Wayne Dowdy was elected to the State Democratic Executive Committee recently, setting up a likely challenge for the Party chairmanship between he and current chairman, Rickey Cole. Cole has said he will seek another term. Dowdy has responded positively to petitions from several lawmakers and activists Democrats drafting him to run. Both men were conciliatory in their remarks toward the other, saying they would be honored to serve in whatever capacity the Democratic Executive committee chooses.

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