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Magnolia Political Report #43
June 26, 2003
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RZR
The Magnolia Report can now be read in print in the 'RZR' magazine a cutting edge political and cultural magazine. Distributed in central Mississippi on the 1st and 15th of every month.

Computer Chip???
The big news out in political circles is that Congressman Chip Pickering is considering a position as president of the Cellular Telecommunications and Internet Association. He has confirmed that it is under consideration but he and his family have not yet made a decision. Whether this is a huge news story depends on the choice he makes, currently the only news is that he is considering it. If news does break look for it first on the Magnolia Report.

Congressman Chip Pickering is celebrating the recent United States Supreme Court ruling that upheld the Children's Internet Protection Act that he authored and sponsored in the House of Representatives. He called the ruling a "victory for our Constitution and for common sense protections of our children in libraries and schools." Three previous laws passed by Congress seeking similar restrictions had been overturned by the Supreme Court, but Pickering's legislation was crafted under definitions and principles handed down in those rulings to withstand the Constitutional challenge. The act requires public libraries and public schools that take federal funds to install filters preventing the access of pornographic materials on Internet connected computers.


Cheney Visit

(click on picture for more pictures in photo album)
Vice President Dick Cheney drew a crowd of more than 1,500 people at a luncheon fundraiser for Haley Barbour on June 9th at the Mississippi Gulf Coast Coliseum Convention Center. The $100 per person event is said to be the largest political fundraiser in the history of the Gulf Coast. The crowd was primarily composed of residents of the Gulf Coast but included Barbour supporters from Hattiesburg, Laurel, and as far north as Jackson. Senator Trent Lott, Congressmen Roger Wicker and Chip Pickering, Lt. Governor Amy Tuck, and State Auditor Phil Bryant, joined Marsha and Haley Barbour and other prominent Republicans on the stage.

Vice President Cheney arrived at Keesler Air Force Base mid-morning and greeted families of service men and women who were involved in Operation Iraqi Freedom. At the luncheon, Haley Barbour briefly introduced the Vice President saying that his friendship with Cheney went back as far as 25 years when Cheney was chief-of-staff for President Gerald Ford at the White House. Barbour praised Cheney as being the most capable and qualified partner that any President could have. Barbour also noted that Cheney was selected by Bush to be his running mate in the 2000 election, not for political reasons, but for the purpose of forming a strong governing administration of the most qualified individuals, regardless of whether they came from a state that had electoral vote implications.

Cheney stated his strong support for Barbour’s campaign in the first lines of his remarks, expressing full confidence in Haley Barbour due to Barbour’s extensive political and business experience in the past 28 years.

Cheney’s remarks also touched on the need to stop frivolous lawsuits so healthcare is available and accessible for Mississippians. He talked about the need to get America’s economy back on track by lowering taxes to spur economic growth. Cheney reiterated the Bush doctrine, saying that countries which harbor or support terrorist organizations will be held accountable just as the terrorists themselves will be held accountable. To hear the Vice-Presidents entire speech go to www.magnoliareport.com/Cheney.htm.

One of the highlights of the lunch entertainment program was a talk given by Craig Ziemba about his experience as a pilot in America’s military or armed forces. Ziemba just recently returned to his hometown of Meridian after flying missions in Operation Iraqi Freedom. Ziemba talked about the new energy and boost in morale that America’s armed forces have because of President Bush and Vice-President Cheney. Ziemba was well received by the audience when he stated that with Presdient Bush, members of our military now cheer for our Commander-in-Chief not simply out of respect for the office but because they genuinely support the President.

As a pilot during the 1990’s, Ziemba believed that America’s Armed Forces were experiencing low morale. Ziemba talked about how He knew America could do better now he believes America is doing better and compared his experience in the military to Mississippi’s current situation were if a leadership void exists. The pilot from Meridian stated his belief that Haley Barbour can provide strong leadership for our state and make us proud just as President Bush and Vice President Cheney have made America proud.

Mississippi’s Most Eligible Bachelor
“I just ran scum out of my front door with no business being here.” – Former Governor Kirk Fordice after a reporter showed up to question him about his pending divorce from Ann Creson.

Former Governor Kirk Fordice and his wife Ann Creson filed for divorce March 9th citing irreconcilable differences. Fordice and Creson were married on February 26th, 2000 soon after his divorce from Pat Fordice, one of Mississippi’s most popular first ladies ever and Fordices’ wife of 44 years.

Fordice and Creson had been high school sweethearts years ago in Memphis. Shortly after Fordice wrecked his vehicle on Hwy 55 South near Grenada, news surfaced that Fordice had been spotted in a Memphis restaurant earlier that evening with a woman who was later identified das Creson. Months later, Fordice was photographed returning from France.

Relatively soon after Fordice and Creson were married, rumors circulated that the former governor was unhappy.


Making dates for Election Day
The courtship between politicians and associations has been full-swing for several months now, with several groups already making the commitment for August and November. The value of endorsements largely depend on two factors – the prestige of the group endorsing and the money and clout they are willing to put behind it. Some of the most coveted endorsements in Mississippi politics belong with the NRA, Right to Life, and Reverend Don Wildmon because of the wide respect they command and the resources they bring to the table. Business and labor groups with large constituencies are good because they can activate the grassroots on behalf of a particular candidate but they don’t necessarily influence the wider voting public.

Newspaper endorsements which will be forthcoming during the weeks prior to the primary and general election can be a double edged sword, especially for Republicans. The GOP faithful often view the media with suspicion to begin with and usually don’t agree with what they write on their editorial pages. When a paper Republicans view as left of center endorses a particular candidate it’s not necessarily to their advantage. Democrats tend to have less of a problem with it except in the rare instances when an editorial page speaks with a conservative voice.

Editorial pages have also marginalized themselves in past elections. Case and point was in the 2002 Congressional race between Congressman Chip Pickering and former Congressman Ronnie Shows. The Clarion Ledger editorial page consistently tilted toward Shows in the months leading toward Election Day but then chose to endorse Pickering in the final days of the race after a Stennis Institue poll showed Pickering way out front.

MAE Endorsement
Jackson – June 17th – Mississippi’s largest teachers union, the Mississippi Association of Educators, endorsed Governor Ronnie Musgrove in his bid for re-election. The strong support of the teachers’ unions, MAE being the most influential, were a key cog in Musgrove’s successful election formula in 1999. The MAE endorsement of Musgrove was no big surprise for those attuned to state politics. Dating back to his days as a state senator, Musgrove has championed the cause of educators. In addition, the MAE rarely sides with a Republican over a Democrat and usually sticks with the incumbent.

Curiously, the MAE did not endorse incumbent Lieutenant Governor Amy Tuck, even though Tuck was instrumental passing in the teacher pay raise package that will finally bring Mississippi educators to the Southeastern average in teacher pay.

The MAE has had a cool relationship with Tuck dating back to at least 1999. That year, the MAE had high hopes the candidate they endorsed in the Democrat primary, Tuck’s primary challenger, Senator Gray Ferris of Vicksburg. The MAE then shocked most political watchers by endorsing Tuck’s Republican opponent, State Senator Bill Hawks. Oddly enough for the teachers’ group, Tuck’s pro-education stances haven’t quite healed the wounds leftover from 1999.

MMA endorsement
For the first time in its history, the Mississippi Manufactures Association endorsed a candidate for governor when it gave the nod to Republican hopeful Haley Barbour of Yazoo City. The MMA has traditionally been a big player in legislative races but taken a pass in gubernatorial politics so their endorsement turned heads around Jackson even though the Clarion Ledger and other statewide press hardly noticed it. Ronnie Musgrove has repeatedly touted Mississippi’s landing the Nissan plant in Canton as a centerpiece of his campaign. Nevertheless, the
MMA decided a wager on Barbour is worth taking.

Coast Debate
In the first of what are sure to be many debates in the campaign for Governor, four candidates squared off on Saturday morning, June 14 at the Mississippi Press Association convention in Biloxi. Sid Salter served as the moderator for the debate that lasted 90 minutes. Only two of the Democratic candidates (Governor Ronnie Musgrove and Gilbert Fountain) attended while both Republican candidates (Haley Barbour and Mitch Tyner) were there. Each candidate had an opening and closing statement as well as an opportunity to answer several questions from Sid Salter and a few questions from the audience of newspaper writers from across the state. The questions focused on the major issues in the campaign such as education, state government spending, and tort reform.

With Musgrove and Barbour being the odds-on favorites to face off in the general election, most of the press attention following the debate centered on their comments and whatever back-and-forth took place between them. Truth be told, it was a civil debate between Barbour and Musgrove. Listening to the debate about the shape Mississippi is in made you wonder if the candidates were talking about two different states. Governor Musgrove took the stance that Mississippi is in good shape whether the issue is education, economic development, or lawsuits. Barbour stayed on his theme of ‘Mississippi can do better’, listing a litany of statistics and citing Mississippi’s highest state and local taxes in the South; Mississippi’s ranking as having the worst business climate; and the U.S. Department of Labor figures showing Mississippi having lost 46,000 manufacturing jobs since January 2000—a higher percentage of manufacturing jobs lost than any other state in the country.

The only new policy proposal made by any of the candidates came early in the debate on the question of state government spending. Barbour challenged Governor Musgrove to use the $95 million in federal dollars coming to Mississippi (as a result of the recently approved Bush tax cut) to help pay off Mississippi’s debt—instead of using it for new spending. Looking directly at Governor Musgrove, Barbour said, ““This summer, our state has a chance to do something about it’s budget that is responsible for a change. Governor Musgrove, I challenge you to use the $95 million from the Bush tax cut bill to start filling in the hole that we’re in. Instead of new spending programs, let’s start paying off our debts first. Of the $95 million coming to Mississippi, we should put $50 million back in the Highway Trust Fund and the rest of the money should be put back in the Tobacco Trust Fund. Both of those funds have been raided over recent years and it is time we start paying them back so they can be used for their original purpose.”

Instead of directly responding to this proposal from Barbour, Governor Musgrove only stated that he liked getting challenged to do something because, “If you’re challenged to do something in the future that must mean you’re going to be there. So, I appreciate that opportunity.” Barbour reminded Musgrove that Mississippi’s plans for spending the $95 million must be made by September 30 of this year and as Barbour said to Musgrove, “I assume you will still be Governor on September 30?” No word yet from Musgrove on what he will decide to do with the $95 million coming to Mississippi later this year but it seems clear the issue of what to do with that money will become more and more of a focus in the Governor’s race.

Are You Being Served?
In the seven year-old case of Alice Skelton vs. the Mississippi Democratic Party, Governor Ronnie Musgrove was served with two subpoenas in front of his campaign headquarters on Monday afternoon, June 16th. The lawsuit stems over alleged failure of payment for salary and expenses of the Democratic Party's former executive director. Sources close to the lawsuit say that her expenses included a $5,000 hotel bill from the ’96 Democratic Convention in Chicago, Ill. One subpoena given to Musgrove is for the deposition on June 26th; the other for the trial set for August.


Blackmon and Roberts make it official… again

Lieutenant Governor candidates Barbara Blackmon and Jim Roberts officially threw their hats into the ring when they qualified for the office before March 1st. Both though recently made it “official” again by announcing their intentions to run in public announcements.

Roberts’ announcement came in his hometown of Pontotoc on June 7th. The former State Supreme Court Justice and 1999 candidate for governor is trying to define himself as the “man in the middle” in the race for lieutenant governor. In his announcement, he largely avoided talking about specific policies, preferring to stick to broader themes. He played to his Democratic base by praising the diversity of Mississippi. “We are a state of diversity, and we must all work together,” said Roberts. “Diversity is a strength, not a disadvantage.”

Blackmon made her announcement at the state capitol on June 24th to a crowd of about 150 onlookers. The State Senator and partner in the hugely successful Blackmon and Blackmon law firm struck a tone of a political moderation in her announcement speech. “We need accountability from our schools that our students are learning, and our tax dollars are being put to their highest and best use,” said Blackmon. “We need to do everything possible to make sure our schools are safe.”

As reported in the last Magnolia Report, both of the leading Democratic candidates for lieutenant governor have their own poll numbers showing momentum for their respective campaigns. Jim Roberts campaign’s poll showed undecided leading the race with 48 percent while Roberts outdrew Blackmon 35 percent to 15. Blackmon’s poll, which she released immediately after Roberts, showed her leading Roberts in a head-to-head match-up 10 points (31%-21%).

Magnolia Report Polls
Should Ole Miss keep Colonel Reb?
Yes - 55%
No - 26%
I don't care - 19%

Have elections become too expensive?
Yes - 78%
No - 15%
I don't care - 7%

In which primary will you vote on August 5th?
Republican - 58%
Democratic - 39%
Neither - 3%


Campaign Loans
The biggest political news in Mississippi over the past week has revolved around $510,000 Lt. Governor Amy Tuck loaned her campaign in 1999. Tuck has repaid $100,000 of the loan since her last election but initially refused to disclose the source of the loans citing their confidential nature. It was revealed on Thursday that political activist Dickie Scruggs of Pascagoula guaranteed all of the loans for Tuck.

In a Wednesday, June 25, 2003, Clarion Ledger article, Scruggs attributed his support of Tuck to the pro-tort reform position of Tuck’s opponent, State Senator Bill Hawks. Tuck at the time was a Democrat and Scruggs was one of the chief contributors to Democratic candidates in Mississippi.

Interestingly, during the 83 day special session last year, Tuck took the lead on enacting the most significant tort reform legislation in Mississippi in years. Soon afterwards, she changed her party affiliation from Democrat to Republican.

Tuck has repaid $100K of the loan and says she intends to have the balance paid off in the near future.

Click here to listen to the press conference held Wednesday, June 25, 2003

Although the $510K is a lot of money to borrow for a state-wide campaign, it is not unusual for candidates to take out loans if they are not independently wealthy. Below is a breakdown of the other “major” players who took out loans or loaned personal money to finance their campaigns.

Ronnie Musgrove
’95 Lt. Governors Race
10/31/1995 (Pre-Election)
Personal Loan
http://www.sos.state.ms.us/PDF-Out/000000000831.pdf (Page 9)
10/13/95 - $75,000 – Loan

Jim Roberts
’99 Gubernatorial
05/10/99 (Periodic)
First National Bank
4/15/99 – $15,000
http://www.sos.state.ms.us/PDF-Out/000000001699.pdf (Page 5)

6/10/1999 (Periodic)
First National Bank
5/15/99 – $10,000
5/07/99 - $15,000
5/26/99 - $50,000
http://www.sos.state.ms.us/PDF-Out/000000002424.pdf (Page 3)

7/09/1999 (Periodic)
First National Bank
6/03/99 - $18,741
6/24/99 - $60,000
6/23/99 - $110,000
6/17/99 - $100,000
(Aggregate to Date 378,741)
http://www.sos.state.ms.us/PDF-Out/000000003119.pdf (Page 2)

07/27/1999 (Pre-Election)
First National Bank
7/01/99 - $40,000
7/06/99 - $40,000
(Aggregate to Date 458,741)
http://www.sos.state.ms.us/PDF-Out/000000003687.pdf (Page 2)

*Roberts took a total of $953,000 in loans that relatives eventually paid off.

Bill Hawks
’99 Lt. Governors Race
Bill and Diane Hawks
1/1/98 - $232,938 (Personal Loan)
http://www.sos.state.ms.us/PDF-Out/000000006414.pdf (Page 8)

Eddie Briggs
5/10/99 (Periodic)
4/23/99 - $100,000 (Personal Loan)
http://www.sos.state.ms.us/PDF-Out/000000001716.pdf (Page 47)

7/15/99 - $50,000 (Personal Loan)
http://www.sos.state.ms.us/PDF-Out/000000003760.pdf (Page 100)

7/30/99 - $60,000 (Personal Loan)
http://www.sos.state.ms.us/PDF-Out/000000004812.pdf (Page 2)

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